OCTA research: NCR Covid cases down to 1,500 daily


The stricter quarantine measures implemented by the government in the National Capital Region (NCR) and four nearby provinces in the past weeks has resulted in daily cases of the coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) in the NCR going down to less than 1,500 a day.

OCTA Research said that the 1,479 Covid-19 cases per day from May 10 to 16 is a 27-percent decrease from the previous week.

Over the same period, NCR’s reproduction number is 0.57 while its positivity rate decreased to 11 percent.

Meanwhile, the average daily attack rate (ADAR) in NCR is 10.71 per 100,000 population.

According to the Department of Health (DOH), an ADAR above 10 is high risk while an ADAR below 10 is moderate risk.

The healthcare utilization rate (HCUR) in the NCR is 45 percent while the intensive care unit occupancy is 57 percent.

According to the DOH, a utilization rate of less than 60 percent is safe.

Following the DOH guidelines, 14 local government units are considered safe in terms of HCUR. These include Navotas, Malabon, Manila, Taguig, Caloocan, Pasay, Muntinlupa, Paranaque, Marikina, Las Pinas, Mandaluyong, Pasig, Pateros, and San Juan.

Meanwhile, there are seven LGUs under moderate risk classification per DOH guidelines. These include Navotas, Malabon, Manila, Taguig, Caloocan, Pasay, and Muntinlupa.

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