Inflation low at 0.8%; NCR inflation higher at 1.3%


The Philippines’ Statistics Authority says that current inflation stands at 0.8%, the country’s lowest since May 2016, when inflation rate was just a tad higher.  The downtrend, says PSA, was due to the annual drop registered in heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages index while the annual rate of transport index declined by 1.7%

Sin” or “vice” products like alcoholic beverages and tobacco registered a 16.5% increase. Basic utilities such as housing rents, electricity, gas and fuels remain at manageable levels at 0.6%

Prices of furnishings, household equipment and routine maintanence stood at 2.7% while health, restaurant and miscellaneous goods and services stand at 2.9%

The report further noted:

“Excluding selected food and energy items, core inflation decelerated further to 2.6 percent in October 2019. In the previous month, core inflation was registered at 2.7 percent and in October 2018, 4.9 percent.

The country’s food index was still on a downtrend as it recorded an annual decline of 1.3 percent in October 2019. This was the same rate posted in September 2019. In October 2018, inflation for food was observed at 9.2 percent (see Table 7).

Annual rates declined further in the indices of rice at 9.7 percent; and sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery, 4.3 percent. In addition, annual decreases were still noted in the indices of corn at 3.9 percent and vegetables at 0.8 percent. Slower annual hikes were also observed in the indices of other cereals, flour, cereal preparation, bread, pasta and other bakery products at 2.8 percent; fish; and oils and fats, both at 0.8 percent; and food products, not elsewhere classified, 6.1 percent.

The index of milk, cheese and egg retained its previous month’s annual rate of 3.1 percent, while the rest of the food groups exhibited higher annual mark-ups during the month.

National Capital Region (NCR)

In NCR, inflation was, however, higher at 1.3 percent in October 2019. Inflation in the area in September 2019 was posted at 0.9 percent and in October 2018, 6.1 percent.

The uptrend was brought about by higher annual increments in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages, and clothing and footwear, both registered at 1.8 percent; and alcoholic beverages and tobacco at 10.0 percent.

Meanwhile, lower annual hikes were seen in the indices of health at 2.0 percent; and restaurant and miscellaneous goods and services, 2.9 percent. Moreover, annual rates in the indices of housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels dropped by 0.2 percent; and transport, 2.8 percent. Other commodity groups retained their previous month’s annual rates (see Tables 3 and 4).

Areas Outside NCR (AONCR)

Following the same trend of the national level, inflation in AONCR decelerated further to 0.7 percent in October 2019. In the previous month, its inflation was observed at 0.9 percent and in October 2018, 6.8 percent.

Annual declines were still registered in the indices of food and non-alcoholic beverages at 1.4 percent; and transport, 1.3 percent. Slowdowns were also noted in the annual gains of the following commodity groups:

Housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuels, 1.0%;
Furnishing, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house, 3.2%;
Health, 3.1%; and
Communication, 0.2%.

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