EDSA 40 Dispute: Marcos–Duterte Rift Before 2028 Race

The 40th anniversary of the EDSA People Power uprising is unfolding amid a heated permit dispute that has reignited tensions between the camps of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte. What was meant to be a solemn commemoration at the EDSA Shrine has evolved into a broader political flashpoint ahead of the 2028 presidential race.

City authorities declared portions of EDSA a no-rally zone, redirecting approved activities to White Plains and the People Power Monument. Organizers, however, insist that masses and commemorative programs on February 22 and 25 will continue, framing the issue as a test of constitutional rights and freedom of assembly. Officials defend the move as a crowd-control and public-safety measure, while critics question whether certain groups were selectively restricted.

Adding another layer to the controversy is the planned “Trillion Peso March,” which aims to highlight accountability concerns and alleged corruption issues. Police units across Metro Manila have been placed on heightened alert as civil society coalitions prepare prayer rallies and protest actions tied to the EDSA 40 observance.

Beyond permits and police presence, the deeper narrative centers on shifting alliances and positioning for 2026 to 2028. Observers note that debates over resignation, impeachment, and presidential immunity are resurfacing in public discourse. At the same time, Vice President Duterte’s evolving national stance is seen by some analysts as part of early groundwork for a possible 2028 bid, potentially reshaping opposition strategies.

This analysis breaks down the legal arguments, the timeline of approvals and denials, and the broader political implications of EDSA 40. As the country reflects on People Power’s legacy, the unfolding developments may signal a defining chapter in the Marcos–Duterte dynamic.